BREAKS FIRSTidea stress-testing instrument · no.001
Fig. 0 — the part nobody simulates

Manifest it.
Measure it. 2,000 times.

Every failed side project was "validated" by someone's course. This is the opposite of a course: an instrument. Enter your price, your churn guess, and the hours you actually have — it runs your idea through 2,000 simulated futures and names the thing that breaks first.

Test an idea — free to run
Fig. 1 — the instrument

Your idea, under load

$49
6
5%
1.0h
The cliff

The variable courses skip: your time is not constant.

20h
m18
5h
P10 · bad case ARR
P50 · median ARR, m36
P90 · good case ARR

Fig. 2 — 60 of 2,000 simulated trajectories. Flat stretches = you've hit your support-hours ceiling. Red rule = your time cliff.

Fig. 3 — where the 2,000 futures land at month 36.

Fig. 4 — verdict

What breaks first

LeverMedian ARRvs. base

The verdict, the lever table and the shareable verdict card are licensed. $39 once, founder window only. Refund within 7 days, no questions, no upsell after.

Get a licence — $39
Fig. 5 — what this is not

You've been sold enough dreams

No income claims

No screenshots of Stripe dashboards. The tool's job is to kill your bad ideas cheaply so the good one gets your full runway.

No course, no cohort

Nothing to complete, nobody to hold you "accountable". It's an instrument. You use it for 30 seconds and it tells you something true about your own numbers.

Assumptions on the table

Every distribution and constraint in the model is documented on the methods page. If you think an assumption is wrong, tell me and I'll defend it or fix it.

Things you will never see here: a webinar · a "limited mastermind" · a rented Lamborghini · "DM me RESULTS"

Fig. 6 — licence

One price. It's on the receipt.

Founder licence · ends midnight

Lifetime

$39 once, ever
  • Unlimited simulations, forever
  • Verdict + lever table on every run
  • Shareable verdict card for every idea
  • Pin & compare up to three ideas side by side
  • Every future feature, including The Feed below
  • 7-day refund, no questions
Buy founder licence